Marvelous-Microwave
0xe2a5a845b90bcb4f42cd93f01f7ef3857ab63746
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$72.69
Total PnL
$-21.65
Realised
$-10.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
130 shares @ 46.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$65.87
$5.87
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?
144 shares @ 7.0¢·now 4.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$6.82
$-3.18
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
27 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
14 shares @ 72.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?$10.37May 21, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?$4.79May 21, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?$15.55May 21, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$6.68May 21, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?$14.65May 21, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$1.00May 20, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$10.00May 20, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.22May 20, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?$10.00May 20, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?$10.00May 20, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$51.08May 20, 15:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $13.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 15:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 14:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.