Dental-Parachute
0xe2cd2aea8e0b02d04d0733868c88273278b73897
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$6.0K
Total PnL
$-74.52
Realised
$39.19
Win rate
64%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
1054 shares @ 67.9¢·now 66.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$695.67
$-19.66
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
1014 shares @ 52.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$542.50
$15.21
- NO
Iran leadership change by September 30?
556 shares @ 91.1¢·now 93.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$520.04
$13.52
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
1953 shares @ 24.9¢·now 26.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$517.50
$30.78
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
2725 shares @ 19.3¢·now 16.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$449.60
$-76.83
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
503 shares @ 84.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$414.84
$-7.54
- YES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
966 shares @ 39.7¢·now 40.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$391.11
$7.92
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
321 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$299.97
$4.81
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
489 shares @ 58.5¢·now 58.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$286.10
$-0.18
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
374 shares @ 69.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$265.61
$7.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$2.10Aug 11, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?$8.37Aug 11, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$1.44Aug 11, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$96.35Aug 11, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$2.16Aug 11, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?$1.89Aug 11, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$1.92Aug 11, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$3.62Aug 11, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?$10.26Aug 11, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?$1.08Aug 11, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?$24.92Aug 11, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$16.55Aug 11, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$2.88Aug 11, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$1.08Aug 11, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?$7.29Aug 11, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$6.72Aug 11, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$3.00Aug 11, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$1.20Aug 11, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$8.69Aug 11, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?$39.76Aug 11, 14:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
64% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $21.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 11:46 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 16:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.