0xe2f5c1449fa87f25a78c551a26ae72940c329212
0xe2f5c1449fa87f25a78c551a26ae72940c329212
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-15.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1912 shares @ 42.4¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$793.45
$-17.47
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
691 shares @ 86.6¢·now 85.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$587.28
$-10.72
- NO
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
592 shares @ 84.1¢·now 86.2¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$509.92
$12.42
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
45 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.57
$-0.23
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$39.99May 17, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$15.26May 17, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$305.38May 17, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$500.66May 17, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$508.96May 17, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$499.92May 17, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$100.27May 17, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.01May 17, 10:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $246.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 10:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 12:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".