Busy-Bargain
0xe303bf4a31151e4b0a09d35e099bfdde65b97507
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-28.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
552 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.08
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?
460 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.22
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
355 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.03
- YES
Will Jason Day win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?
340 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102,000 on October 18?
330 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.23
- YES
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?
310 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-7.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$2.08Mar 27, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kensei Hirata win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?$489.02Mar 25, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kensei Hirata win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?$489.51Mar 25, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 23?$179.28Mar 22, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 23?$179.82Mar 22, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$430.00Dec 12, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$428.28Nov 23, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana dip to $70 November 17-23?$189.62Nov 23, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 November 17-23?$189.81Nov 23, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 15?$340.00Nov 19, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 15?$339.32Nov 14, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$280.00Nov 13, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$279.72Nov 4, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the top AI model on June 30?$126.66Nov 4, 04:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gabriel Bortoleto finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?$131.50Nov 4, 04:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $116,000 September 22-28?$340.00Nov 4, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$197.80Oct 29, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$198.60Oct 24, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?$7.75Oct 14, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $102,000 on October 18?$10.23Oct 14, 18:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $136.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 14:09 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 10:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".