Quixotic-Menu
0xe31cb25db363bf1a742c0f06d55c70c774257b72
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$27.89
Total PnL
$-5.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.99
$0.99
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
2 shares @ 83.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.41
$0.41
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.47
$0.47
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.39
$0.39
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.35
$0.35
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Christian McCaffrey be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$1.08
$0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Jan 13, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Jan 13, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Jan 13, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$1.00Jan 13, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.00Jan 13, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christian McCaffrey be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?$1.00Jan 13, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 13, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)$1.00Jan 13, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?$1.00Jan 13, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$2.00Jan 13, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Jan 13, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Jan 13, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Jan 13, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?$1.00Jan 13, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$10.00Jan 13, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 13, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$3.00Jan 12, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 12, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 12?$1.00Jan 12, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 12?$1.00Jan 12, 17:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 15:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 13, 11:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.