Cylindrical-Cause
0xe33a76226eb570e53095b437f3af03335379d8f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$6.6K
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$-1.8K
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
2421 shares @ 76.0¢·now 89.1¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$2.2K
$318.15
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
2000 shares @ 77.0¢·now 89.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.8K
$258.00
- YES
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
1497 shares @ 62.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$875.83
$-52.40
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
750 shares @ 80.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$678.75
$78.75
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 67.9¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$595.02
$-84.17
- YES
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
10000 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$325.00
$-74.80
- YES
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
750 shares @ 30.9¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$86.25
$-145.67
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
301 shares @ 31.1¢·now 20.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$60.56
$-33.07
- YES
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?
16646 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-47.51
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
7961 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-103.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$248.43Jun 14, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$750.00Jun 14, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4.10Jun 13, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$79.43Jun 13, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$195.09Jun 13, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$331.00Jun 13, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$16.52Jun 13, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.85Jun 13, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$731.23Jun 13, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$19.71Jun 13, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$806.03Jun 13, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$175.14Jun 13, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$100.00Jun 13, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.36Jun 13, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$10.00Jun 13, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4.60Jun 13, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$158.89Jun 13, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$540.00Jun 12, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$778.00Jun 12, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$7.11Jun 12, 14:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $209.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 21:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 08:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.