These-Characterization
0xe33b0b080e8c6ad0bdf3c8f4d471d5029f946de8
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$221.11
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-18.03
Win rate
37%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
172 shares @ 12.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$172.00
$151.26
- YES
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2688 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$22.84
$1.34
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1750 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$16.63
$-4.38
- YES
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
870 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.52
$-1.17
- YES
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
856 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.14
$-5.56
- YES
Will Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
169 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.68
$-6.10
- YES
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
200 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.30
$-0.50
- YES
Will "Hamnet" win Best Casting at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
1640 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-9.84
- YES
Will "La Grazia" win in the Non-English Language Film category at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will "The Librarians" win Best Documentary at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
37% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.