Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
Probability
25¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+3.5pp
24h Vol
$326.14
Liquidity
$1.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+4.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 4pp over 24h
Now 25¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 850h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $1.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 850.3h
- 13:42SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 850h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 25¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 26¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 25¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 24¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 24¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 24¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 25¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 24¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 24¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 24¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 24¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 24¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 24¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 20¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 20¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 20¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 20¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 20¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
The 2026 Indian Premier League (IPL) T20 cricket competition is scheduled to take place from March 26 to May 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 Indian Premier League. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 Indian Premier League based on the rules of the competition (e.g., they do not advance to the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 Indian Premier League season is permanently canceled or there is otherwise no winner declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be the IPL (https://www.iplt20.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).