Considerate-Violet
0xe3726d42c4efe75d18f754e3188c80079699c1b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$0.47
Total PnL
$-122.14
Realised
$10.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 8.0¢·now 4.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.47
$-0.33
- YES
Will Microsoft have the top AI model on December 31?
6493 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.84
- YES
Will Dogecoin reach $0.35 in September?
1150 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.03
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 11PM ET
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
540 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-12.08
- YES
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?
420 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.39
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
260 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-8.80
- YES
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.08
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?
180 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.08
- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
172 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?$1.30Feb 4, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.25Feb 4, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.20Feb 4, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.20Feb 4, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.20Feb 4, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.10Feb 4, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1.04Feb 4, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1.00Feb 4, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?$1.08Feb 4, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1.20Feb 4, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1.00Feb 4, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.65Feb 4, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.35Feb 4, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?$8.80Feb 4, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.70Feb 4, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.90Feb 4, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1.00Feb 4, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?$9.00Feb 4, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$10.00Feb 4, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$10.00Feb 4, 15:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 28, 12:43 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 4, 17:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".