0xe3735e1e00ab80fb5457892498a3fe2cdfab3c7b
0xe3735e1e00ab80fb5457892498a3fe2cdfab3c7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$5.32
Total PnL
$-5.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
1 shares @ 97.4¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.17
$-0.01
- NO
Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.07
$0.01
- NO
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.03
$-0.01
- NO
Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.03
$0.01
- NO
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.03
$-0.00
- NO
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
2 shares @ 65.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026?
2 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.09
- YES
Exact Score: Olympic Dcheira 0 - 3 OC Safi?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.17
- NO
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$1.04Jul 20, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$1.18Jul 20, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?$1.05Jul 19, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.01Jul 19, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.06Jul 15, 23:14 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$1.12Jul 15, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Spain: O/U 0.5$0.01Jul 15, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$1.02Jul 14, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. Spain: O/U 0.5$1.09Jul 14, 19:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the fight be won by submission?$0.00Jul 12, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: O/U 0.5$1.02Jul 12, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win the World Cup?$1.09Jul 12, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the World Cup?$1.03Jul 11, 20:18 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5$1.18Jul 10, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?$1.01Jul 10, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5$1.11Jul 10, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the fight be won by submission?$1.04Jul 9, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$0.44Jul 7, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.01Jul 7, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$0.01Jul 7, 15:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 21:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 23:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.