0xe37e55be42fa01b68116852d2af981007bd19de0
0xe37e55be42fa01b68116852d2af981007bd19de0
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$21.22
Total PnL
$9.73
Realised
$10.94
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- UNDER
England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 0.5
5 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$5.00
$2.70
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
18 shares @ 17.6¢·now 19.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.40
$0.28
- YES
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
32 shares @ 10.8¢·now 6.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.16
$-1.29
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
26 shares @ 10.3¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.09
$-0.62
- YES
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
12 shares @ 11.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.61
$0.30
- YES
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
48 shares @ 4.2¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.40
$-0.60
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.26
$0.29
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.09
$0.05
- NO
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.79
$-1.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 0.5$2.35Jun 23, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.47Jun 23, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Tunisia 0 - 1 Japan?$0.00Jun 22, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Tunisia 0 - 2 Japan?$0.00Jun 22, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?$0.00Jun 22, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.05Jun 22, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.05Jun 22, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.01Jun 22, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?$0.00Jun 22, 17:58 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Tunisia 1 - 1 Japan?$0.00Jun 22, 17:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?$0.00Jun 21, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Tunisia 0 - 0 Japan?$0.00Jun 21, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Tunisia 1 - 0 Japan?$0.00Jun 21, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Tunisia 2 - 1 Japan?$0.00Jun 21, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Tunisia 2 - 2 Japan?$0.00Jun 21, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tunisia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jun 21, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Tunisia 2 - 3 Japan?$0.00Jun 21, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Tunisia 2 - 0 Japan?$0.00Jun 21, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Tunisia 2 - 3 Japan?$2.07Jun 20, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Tunisia 2 - 0 Japan?$2.07Jun 20, 22:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $2.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 22:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 20:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.