Nocturnal-Pitcher
0xe3855dbcc2f9cb807f2e5996afbdc4e5035e643a
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "France" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 4, 2026?
15 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
10 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?
8 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.94
- YES
Will Donald Trump's tie be red?
5 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- YES
Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during WHCA Dinner events?
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.22
- YES
Will Trump say "Insider" this week? (March 8)
3 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- MANCHESTER CITY FC
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Starmer say "Equality" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?$3.00Apr 26, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$6.07Apr 26, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during WHCA Dinner events?$2.27Apr 22, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump's tie be red?$2.00Apr 22, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$3.00Apr 22, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 8)$3.77Apr 22, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$2.03Apr 22, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$1.00Mar 4, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.00Mar 4, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Insider" this week? (March 8)$2.00Mar 4, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 8)$2.00Mar 4, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Equality" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$1.00Mar 4, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$1.00Mar 4, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 4, 2026?$1.00Mar 4, 01:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Drone" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?$1.87Mar 4, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Drone" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?$1.00Mar 4, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "France" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?$1.00Mar 4, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)$1.00Mar 4, 00:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $1.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 00:46 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 18:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".