Jovial-Routine
0xe399bb71ff1fef9313c7625eb2b8f345f0297dc1
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$40.9K
Total PnL
$1.1K
Realised
$124.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
22099 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.9K
$773.48
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
7000 shares @ 91.4¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.6K
$213.51
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
4266 shares @ 87.9¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.7K
$-62.05
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
3000 shares @ 87.2¢·now 96.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$2.9K
$282.01
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
2215 shares @ 84.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$172.57
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
2000 shares @ 85.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$245.00
- NO
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?
2000 shares @ 82.5¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.8K
$140.00
- NO
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?
822 shares @ 89.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$795.82
$64.13
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1237 shares @ 81.7¢·now 17.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$218.38
$-792.57
- YES
Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?
903 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-77.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.17Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 12, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.