Wooden-Codepage
0xe3a64954a6c89f75ee73cefeccbdad7c642c8297
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
179
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-287.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 179- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
200 shares @ 59.5¢·now 26.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$53.00
$-66.00
- YES
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
50 shares @ 75.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$48.48
$10.97
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
31 shares @ 94.8¢·now 96.8¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$30.04
$0.60
- YES
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
34 shares @ 84.3¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$29.41
$0.91
- YES
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
27 shares @ 87.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$26.39
$2.90
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
31 shares @ 76.4¢·now 83.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$25.56
$2.16
- YES
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
151 shares @ 86.1¢·now 16.6¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$25.01
$-104.65
- YES
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
24 shares @ 82.9¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$21.96
$1.96
- YES
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
36 shares @ 64.1¢·now 60.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$21.70
$-1.30
- YES
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
22 shares @ 92.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$21.65
$1.65
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?$23.26Jul 30, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?$10.45Jul 22, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andy Biggs win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?$50.00Jul 22, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the MI-09 House seat?$2.90Jul 5, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the ME-01 House seat?$10.02Jul 5, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?$10.02Jul 5, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMParaguay vs. France: Team to Advance$22.58Jul 4, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay vs. France: Team to Advance$11.02Jul 4, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?$10.05Jul 4, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the NJ-04 House seat?$10.04Jul 4, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?$10.05Jul 4, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the LA-03 House seat?$10.03Jul 4, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the NY-26 House seat?$10.02Jul 4, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?$10.03Jul 4, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the OR-02 House seat?$10.03Jul 4, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?$10.05Jul 4, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?$10.03Jul 4, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the IL-16 House seat?$10.04Jul 4, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the PA-12 House seat?$10.02Jul 4, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?$10.02Jul 4, 19:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $9.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 17:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 07:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.