0xe3ab6191e5e28c7a555df0f958f306ac19f696c2
0xe3ab6191e5e28c7a555df0f958f306ac19f696c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
107
Open notional
$363.60
Total PnL
$62.31
Realised
$33.84
Win rate
26%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 107- YES
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
126 shares @ 10.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$126.05
$112.72
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
13 shares @ 40.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$12.55
$7.50
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
10 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$10.05
$0.05
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?
8 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$8.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
8 shares @ 70.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$7.77
$2.27
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
8 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$7.59
$0.09
- NO
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
7 shares @ 90.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$6.64
$0.64
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
6 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$6.35
$0.38
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?
6 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$6.08
$0.08
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?
6 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$6.07
$0.07
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.03May 15, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.00May 15, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.00May 15, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.00May 15, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?$0.41May 4, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$0.04May 3, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$0.05May 3, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$0.08May 3, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$0.04May 3, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$1.51May 3, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.09May 3, 01:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.62Apr 30, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.00Apr 30, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.02Apr 29, 22:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.00Apr 29, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.28Apr 29, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.40Apr 29, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.00Apr 28, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.06Apr 28, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.10Apr 28, 14:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 07:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 13:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".