Ill-Fated-Cable
0xe3d7b3dbca4bae9ee617aa081aa127c4bb980c3d
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$22.54
Total PnL
$-8.87
Realised
$-0.53
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
10 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.19
$0.19
- NO
Will José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$6.38
$0.01
- NO
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
3 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Tim Vieira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.51
$0.00
- YES
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
3 shares @ 74.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.36
$-0.64
- YES
Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Any DCM acquired in 2025?
4 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Baldoni x Lively lawsuit dismissed before July?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$269.46Nov 22, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$3.00Nov 21, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYAny DCM acquired in 2025?$3.00Nov 21, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$276.10Nov 21, 03:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Vieira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$256.84Nov 21, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Vieira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$258.60Nov 21, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sebastian Burduja be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$3.00Nov 21, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$10.00Nov 21, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMEarthquake 7.0 or above in June?$1.75Nov 21, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMTrump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?$2.53Nov 21, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaldoni x Lively lawsuit dismissed before July?$2.00Jun 12, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Rihanna Album before GTA VI?$2.00Jun 12, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?$2.00Jun 12, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEarthquake 7.0 or above in June?$1.00Jun 12, 03:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Syria hold national elections before July?$2.12Jun 12, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?$1.01Jun 12, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.04Jun 12, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. abandon Syrian base before April 2025?$1.06Jun 12, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shedeur Sanders be a top 5 draft pick?$1.25Jun 12, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barron launch a coin before May?$2.11Jun 12, 03:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $29.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 18, 07:32 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 22, 07:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".