Finished-Credential
0xe40f0499b2ef8a941a0a782dd08e44b9a09a3dd6
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
78
Open notional
$82.48
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-35.66
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
93 shares @ 47.2¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$61.00
$17.07
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
33 shares @ 63.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.50
$-9.50
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
52 shares @ 77.4¢·now 16.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.42
$-31.58
- JAKUB MENSIK
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$1.56
$0.56
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
4188 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.17
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
3333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
2446 shares @ 48.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.10ºC in July 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?
1383 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-32.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca$1.01Jun 2, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.05May 14, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 14, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$40.36Apr 30, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?$10.36Apr 30, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$20.57Apr 30, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$75.95Apr 30, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?$11.00Apr 24, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$21.00Apr 24, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$16.65Apr 24, 04:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?$15.56Apr 24, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?$13.00Apr 22, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?$10.00Apr 22, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$10.00Apr 22, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$40.00Apr 22, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$72.47Apr 22, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$1.00Apr 17, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026?$1.00Apr 17, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 6, 2026?$1.00Apr 17, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?$2.00Apr 17, 00:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $35.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 10:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 20:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".