Foolish-Mangle
0xe4127947444f2b13b00d66a8e9c6c5741628c431
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$7.83
Total PnL
$-20.00
Realised
$0.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$6.86
$-3.14
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 8.1¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)
1125 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Solana all time high before 2026?
341 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
38 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
13 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 3PM ET
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?
4 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$10.12Jun 13, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 12, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 4, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$6.24Jun 3, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$20.80Jun 3, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.04Jun 3, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$3.12Jun 3, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.00Mar 1, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$0.33Mar 1, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$1.00Mar 1, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.74Mar 1, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.00Mar 1, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?$1.39Mar 1, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?$1.00Feb 28, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.00Feb 28, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.00Feb 28, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1.00Feb 28, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.00Feb 28, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.15Feb 28, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$0.19Jan 26, 05:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 21:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.