Torn-Server
0xe41499289c315285134a7eb411fb7320f9637072
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$1.43
Total PnL
$-1.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?$1.15Jan 18, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?$1.17Jan 17, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon acquire TikTok?$1.39Jan 13, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 12, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?$1.07Jan 12, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?$1.06Jan 8, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBase FDV above $12B one day after launch?$1.19Jan 7, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBase FDV above $12B one day after launch?$1.34Jan 5, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$2.38Jan 2, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$2.60Dec 29, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$1.09Dec 26, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$1.13Dec 26, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?$1.15Dec 22, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?$1.47Dec 20, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?$1.47Dec 16, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Hryshyne by December 31?$0.63Dec 15, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$1.11Dec 10, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$1.10Dec 9, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$1.01Dec 5, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Hryshyne by December 31?$1.16Dec 3, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 09:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 19:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.