Roasted-Dare
0xe41e136cf11c89459ca57c1993efc13da69b5aa1
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$391.93
Total PnL
$-89.46
Realised
$0.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
113 shares @ 75.5¢·now 82.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$92.53
$7.54
- YES
Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
68 shares @ 64.9¢·now 66.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$44.73
$0.73
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
80 shares @ 36.7¢·now 49.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.20
$9.80
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
50 shares @ 49.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.75
$12.25
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026?
30 shares @ 80.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.32
$5.33
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
70 shares @ 46.3¢·now 41.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$29.05
$-3.35
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
30 shares @ 69.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$28.35
$7.65
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 50.5¢·now 67.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.80
$6.60
- NO
Will Marine Le Pen announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
25 shares @ 65.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$19.50
$3.25
- NO
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
25 shares @ 71.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$19.13
$1.38
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$24.00Jun 10, 12:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$2.80Jun 9, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$2.80Jun 9, 16:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$16.25Jun 8, 14:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$22.00Jun 5, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$20.22Jun 4, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$15.14Jun 4, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$5.05Jun 4, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$5.07Jun 2, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$40.00Jun 2, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$146.89Jun 2, 04:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $11.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.