Black-Cruelty
0xe41f90185cb27193e33e01859c0326e1e7691c5b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-449.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the House vote on a government funding bill today?
839 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
554 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.99
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
503 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.87
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
478 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will FCSB win on 2025-10-23?
342 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-33.00
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
327 shares @ 30.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-100.01
- YES
Will Cyprus win on 2025-09-09?
112 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-11.46
- YES
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?
111 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
103 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-26.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$3.24Dec 21, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$60.38Dec 7, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?$72.85Dec 7, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$33.99Dec 4, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.00Dec 4, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$5.00Dec 4, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$4.00Dec 4, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?$5.00Nov 19, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$8.64Nov 19, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?$38.64Nov 19, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?$23.57Nov 18, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 13?$0.43Nov 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$1.00Nov 13, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the House vote on a government funding bill today?$2.50Nov 12, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the House vote on a government funding bill today?$2.50Nov 12, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$10.00Nov 12, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$4.00Nov 12, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a new product line in 2025?$1.61Oct 30, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?$10.00Oct 30, 16:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $9.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 2, 17:46 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 21, 09:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".