Attached-Donor
0xe423f6ee6cd16e715fcca7d8ed0ffdf79ed02492
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$45.66
Total PnL
$-470.04
Realised
$62.16
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
50 shares @ 69.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.25
$-14.25
- NO
Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?
60 shares @ 35.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$14.70
$-6.30
- YES
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
20 shares @ 30.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$6.20
$0.20
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
4 shares @ 78.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.16
$0.21
- YES
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
5 shares @ 23.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.30
$0.15
- YES
Will Renovación Popular (RP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?
100 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.05
$-0.57
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?
300 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-33.50
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.05
- DOWN
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 27?
206 shares @ 46.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-96.34
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
200 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.50
Recent activity
- REWARD$2.23Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.44Jun 12, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.06Jun 12, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.35Jun 12, 03:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.42Jun 12, 03:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.42Jun 12, 03:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$47.85Jun 12, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$47.85Jun 12, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.60Jun 12, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21.40Jun 12, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.08Jun 12, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.52Jun 12, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$32.50Jun 12, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$33.00Jun 12, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$33.50Jun 12, 01:41 UTC
- REWARD$5.28Jun 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?$46.63Jun 11, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by December 31?$5.20Jun 11, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?$25.60Jun 11, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by December 31?$9.16Jun 11, 11:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $12.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 14:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.