Hairy-Era
0xe437a915815b5793a1ed7c32c85079d86686de6c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-42.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Solana dip to $60 in January?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Solana dip to $80 in January?
625 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Solana dip to $70 in January?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.10 in January?
395 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in January?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 30?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Chainlink reach $20 in February?$1.00Feb 17, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$1.00Feb 10, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Databricks’ market cap be between $175B and $200B at market close on IPO day?$1.00Feb 10, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?$1.00Feb 10, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?$1.00Feb 10, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026?$1.00Feb 10, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena reach $0.36 in February?$1.00Feb 8, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 15?$1.00Feb 8, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on February 8?$1.00Feb 8, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be less than $60 on February 8?$1.00Feb 8, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 7?$1.00Feb 7, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 February 2-8?$1.00Feb 6, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $74,000 on February 6?$1.00Feb 6, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on February 10?$1.00Feb 4, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin reach $0.25 in February?$1.00Feb 4, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on February 4?$1.00Feb 3, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on February 4?$1.00Feb 3, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chainlink reach $20 in February?$1.00Feb 3, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $190 in February?$1.00Feb 3, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.00Feb 3, 16:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 18:27 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 17:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.