Warmhearted-Feather
0xe43eba4e59e35330bbb98e515c200d91776f7547
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-54.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump do better with LGTBQ voters than in 2020?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?
14 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Manchester City wins the Premier League?
13 shares @ 37.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?
11 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-7.00
- FLORIDA
Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump claim victory by midnight?
6 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.85
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win La Liga?$16.39May 22, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out as UK prime minister in 2024?$10.34Jan 30, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more? $9.09Jan 30, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMTaylor Swift pregnant in 2024?$10.43Jan 30, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump do better with Latinos than in 2020?$10.26Nov 13, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?$5.00Nov 9, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift pregnant in 2024?$10.00Nov 9, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out as UK prime minister in 2024?$10.00Nov 9, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?$5.00Nov 9, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?$5.00Nov 9, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLRecord turnout in 2024 Presidential election?$0.85Nov 9, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMKamala Harris wins a solid red state?$12.35Nov 8, 23:01 UTC
- REDEEMSenate control after 2024 election?$8.43Nov 8, 23:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$10.35Nov 7, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AP call the election on November 5?$12.50Nov 6, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win New Jersey Presidential Election?$5.19Nov 6, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump lose Iowa but win election?$15.46Nov 6, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump claim victory by midnight? $2.85Nov 5, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSenate control after 2024 election?$7.00Nov 5, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$9.85Nov 5, 19:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $7.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 23:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 22:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".