Rural-Sight
0xe450d771caa532822ccd55d5b8ce09e188fe91b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$968.54
Total PnL
$-453.64
Realised
$33.74
Win rate
66%
64 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?
140 shares @ 31.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$56.76
$13.36
- NO
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026?
37 shares @ 70.5¢·now 83.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$30.73
$4.62
- YES
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
79 shares @ 16.1¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$25.71
$12.96
- NO
Aligned FDV above $800M one day after launch?
28 shares @ 74.2¢·now 87.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$24.16
$3.61
- NO
Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?
25 shares @ 81.6¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$24.09
$3.68
- NO
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?
25 shares @ 66.4¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$23.13
$6.53
- YES
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
34 shares @ 38.5¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$22.58
$9.51
- YES
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
140 shares @ 3.5¢·now 15.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.12
$17.22
- NO
Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?
60 shares @ 48.5¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.69
$-8.39
- NO
Aligned FDV above $500M one day after launch?
25 shares @ 70.9¢·now 82.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$20.56
$2.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?$1.30Jun 13, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$2.00Jun 13, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.00Jun 13, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?$1.00Jun 13, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa$3.07Jun 13, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$1.00Jun 13, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$3.60Jun 13, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa$1.01Jun 13, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa$1.01Jun 13, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa$1.01Jun 13, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYArc FDV above $5B one day after launch?$1.01Jun 13, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?$1.00Jun 13, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 13, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jun 13, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?$3.36Jun 13, 07:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 09:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 14:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 64 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.