Wilted-Bump
0xe472ce6be1fb4673d6155de37e414ead8bace7eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$123.4K
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$-12.5K
Win rate
80%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
40862 shares @ 70.4¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.9K
$6.2K
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
28307 shares @ 78.1¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.9K
$1.8K
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
23858 shares @ 94.8¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.5K
$882.62
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
16096 shares @ 70.6¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.0K
$1.7K
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
13283 shares @ 66.4¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.6K
$807.20
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
4066 shares @ 83.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.8K
$360.21
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
3000 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 29, 2026$3.0K
$1.50
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
3000 shares @ 96.7¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.0K
$66.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
1640 shares @ 90.2¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$109.14
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
1000 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$988.16
$25.56
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$788.00Jun 13, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$11.77Jun 13, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$154.23Jun 13, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$664.00Jun 13, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$672.00Jun 13, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$2.8KJun 13, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$234.05Jun 13, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$138.70Jun 13, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$32.40Jun 13, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$6.27Jun 13, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$47.31Jun 13, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$3.32Jun 13, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$93.70Jun 13, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$8.64Jun 13, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$3.38Jun 13, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.78Jun 13, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$70.60Jun 13, 17:13 UTC
- MERGEUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$3.5KJun 13, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$35.88Jun 13, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$770.28Jun 13, 17:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $274.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 16:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.