0xe486f2c8abbc92669dd3ad404e7a4492e7d76c9e
0xe486f2c8abbc92669dd3ad404e7a4492e7d76c9e
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$26.48
Total PnL
$-214.66
Realised
$0.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
408 shares @ 9.8¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.10
$-14.90
- NO
Netanyahu out by April 30?
1 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.38
$0.05
- NO
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
40000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
20000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
7792 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
964 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
548 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
30 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.