Complicated-Nectarine
0xe491669c797eb43a91d306ade16645ad0647b4d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$199.27
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
15629 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$132.85
$-1.1K
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
429 shares @ 33.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$66.42
$-74.99
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
16837 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-499.99
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
10683 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-416.62
- YES
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
2341 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?
162 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$14.79Apr 27, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$11.85Apr 27, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4.93Apr 27, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4.93Apr 27, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4.93Apr 27, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$11.88Apr 27, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$19.41Apr 27, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$14.77Apr 27, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4.93Apr 27, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$25.00Apr 27, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$24.01Apr 27, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$141.42Apr 25, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$324.78Apr 22, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$7.00Apr 22, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.05Apr 22, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$0.74Apr 22, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$0.08Apr 22, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$0.16Apr 22, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$0.08Apr 22, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$0.34Apr 22, 12:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $42.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 05:17 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 13:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.