Phony-Bonus
0xe4997fda1371e7a96e4c6df8e1bc476a1d9188fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-619.37
Realised
$-11.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 14?
740 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-40.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
490 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
490 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
270 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-135.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
196 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
196 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
72 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-24.50
- TATE
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
57 shares @ 87.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 14?$40.57Mar 14, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?$37.69Mar 14, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?$60.00Mar 14, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Turkey in March?$62.87Mar 11, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Turkey in March?$9.61Mar 7, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Turkey in March?$45.00Mar 7, 08:25 UTC
- TRADESELL World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?$45.85Mar 7, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUY World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?$42.06Feb 26, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$10.00Dec 20, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor$50.00Dec 20, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran before 2026?$50.92Dec 20, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran before 2026?$50.00Dec 5, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill edgeX launch a token in 2025?$98.76Dec 5, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$135.00Nov 24, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill edgeX launch a token in 2025?$110.00Nov 24, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - November 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$195.55Nov 18, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - November 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$99.73Nov 15, 12:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$193.73Nov 14, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$98.80Nov 14, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$100.00Nov 8, 12:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $44.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 15:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 09:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".