Organic-Blog
0xe4a5b8c8f23808fcc39770bfb4f11bc7bcb815c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-242.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
786 shares @ 61.0¢·now 66.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$525.70
$45.70
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
401 shares @ 57.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$327.00
$98.27
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
940 shares @ 20.9¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$94.02
$-102.98
- YES
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
28266 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$84.80
$-83.19
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
2690 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$174.68Jun 14, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$163.54Jun 14, 13:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$24.03Jun 7, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$197.00Jun 7, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$173.95Jun 7, 15:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 31, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $144.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 21:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 13:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.