Shiny-Diesel
0xe4b35e85cb42ea0ce57fd7b7e4a9c6587117ac14
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$13.18
Total PnL
$-5.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by May 31?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.28
$0.01
- NO
Hwang Kyo-ahn in jail by December 31?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.00
$0.00
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.44
$0.01
- NO
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.42
$0.00
- NO
Will Iran strike Germany by April 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.35
$0.01
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.30
$0.03
- NO
Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.30
$0.01
- NO
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.04
$0.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.04
$0.00
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-1.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by May 31?$2.27May 31, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.27May 9, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$1.04Apr 30, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.42Apr 29, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.04Apr 28, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Germany by April 30, 2026?$1.34Apr 15, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan strike Iran by March 31?$1.29Mar 30, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?$1.43Mar 29, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYHwang Kyo-ahn in jail by December 31?$2.00Dec 30, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Jay Kelly" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 9, 2025)$1.17Dec 6, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO3)$1.82Dec 6, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO3)$1.02Dec 4, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chris Stapleton win Entertainer of the Year at the 59th annual CMA Awards?$1.18Dec 4, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 29?$1.72Dec 4, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEM>3.1 million TSA travelers any day November 23-30?$2.13Dec 4, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$2.64Dec 4, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUY>3.1 million TSA travelers any day November 23-30?$1.00Nov 28, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 29?$1.05Nov 27, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?$1.05Nov 20, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Stapleton win Entertainer of the Year at the 59th annual CMA Awards?$1.05Nov 16, 02:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $11.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 12, 04:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 02:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".