New-Skeleton
0xe4b40038ce053880aaf47c61375f5f6b0becda4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$4.55
Total PnL
$-18.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$2.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.02
$0.02
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 45.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.47
$-0.53
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
1600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-800.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
1600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-800.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
1400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-700.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
1400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-700.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 26, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? $1.00Jan 21, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 15, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMOver $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?$1.01Jan 15, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?$1.03Jan 15, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?$1.00Jan 7, 01:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hanks win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Jan 7, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Jan 7, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill only OP_CTV be activated in 2025?$1.00Jan 7, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMSenate passes bill to purchase 1m Bitcoin in 2025?$1.01Jan 7, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMTexas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act (H.B. 1598) signed in 2025?$1.01Jan 7, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?$1.01Jan 7, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?$1.02Jan 7, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMUS national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill SOL flip ETH in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMBybit insolvent in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hard fork before 2026?$1.03Jan 7, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?$1.03Jan 7, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?$1.03Jan 7, 01:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 02:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 06:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".