Decisive-Dependency
0xe4dba209fc576621cfd126fdb757a5e8f349b966
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-17.13
Realised
$48.72
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
998 shares @ 25.6¢·now 26.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$263.42
$7.92
- NO
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
299 shares @ 89.8¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$262.73
$-5.48
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
315 shares @ 66.7¢·now 70.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$220.21
$10.20
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of June 1 2026?
212 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$211.10
$5.19
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of June 1 2026?
108 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$107.55
$2.55
- NO
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in June 2026?
106 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$103.03
$3.03
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
119 shares @ 37.7¢·now 60.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$72.27
$27.27
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?
74 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$71.56
$1.56
- YES
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?
92 shares @ 73.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$67.91
$0.46
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of June 1 2026?
63 shares @ 95.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$62.29
$2.29
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?$2.25Jun 5, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?$5.00Jun 5, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?$20.00Jun 5, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$5.89Jun 5, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$5.14Jun 5, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on June 5?$50.22Jun 5, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of June 1 2026?$211.28Jun 5, 10:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of June 1 2026?$60.10Jun 4, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of June 1 2026?$59.55Jun 4, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of June 1 2026?$105.11Jun 4, 05:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$106.74Jun 2, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of June 1 2026?$60.12Jun 2, 04:57 UTC
- TRADESELLE. Jean Carroll arrested by June 30?$51.32Jun 2, 03:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of June 1 2026?$110.22Jun 1, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: May$111.97Jun 1, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?$70.17Jun 1, 10:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $62.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 21:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 15:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".