Fussy-Thousand
0xe4dd5a310208591c1bf3f1812612303ee62453c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-156.76
Realised
$-12.99
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
12200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-12.98
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
6200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.99
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
1522 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-55.84
- NO
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during Bret Baier interview?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?
43 shares @ 29.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-12.95
- NO
Will Trump say "Biden" during Bret Baier interview?
27 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
21 shares @ 56.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
18 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
15 shares @ 65.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$0.00May 23, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$3.10May 23, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$0.00May 23, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$30.69May 23, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$20.81May 23, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$5.27May 23, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$5.26May 23, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$0.00May 23, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$35.97May 23, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$20.63May 23, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$2.06May 23, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$10.31May 23, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - May 22, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$11.09May 23, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 22, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$8.16May 23, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.20May 22, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.20May 22, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.20May 22, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.20May 22, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 22, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$8.66May 22, 13:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $8.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 02:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 02:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.