Agile-Expert
0xe509c4e642b2d25f9bf8a212f5afa317b6077387
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$2.38
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-600.48
Win rate
31%
54 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
53 shares @ 8.9¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.38
$-2.38
- YES
Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?
926 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-18.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on April 4?
462 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-138.72
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
344 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-18.59
- 76ERS
76ers vs. Heat
301 shares @ 44.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-135.15
- WASHINGTON NATIONALS
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
201 shares @ 48.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-97.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on March 31?
195 shares @ 32.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-62.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 10?
140 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-40.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on April 11?
137 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-47.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on April 5?
134 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-32.43
Recent activity
- REDEEMNew Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?$0.51Aug 1, 06:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
31% win rate over 54 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
54 closed markets, 31% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 06:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 54 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.