Bossy-Wasting
0xe50b63086d0015f04478ce3266c913b96c9a8bde
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
189
Open notional
$9.2K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$198.92
Win rate
63%
57 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 189- YES
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
1001 shares @ 86.5¢·now 73.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$730.96
$-135.27
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
357 shares @ 57.5¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$299.70
$94.45
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?
300 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$283.49
$4.50
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?
300 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$281.85
$5.85
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
284 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$267.24
$8.55
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?
270 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$255.15
$6.75
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
250 shares @ 91.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$239.25
$11.75
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?
250 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$237.50
$7.50
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
250 shares @ 90.7¢·now 93.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$235.16
$7.90
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?
245 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$231.18
$6.12
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
78/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
63% win rate over 57 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
57 closed markets, 63% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 57 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.