Costly-Pup
0xe53a0a4d7d7935405e3d97e8a75f3e2f01bf19a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$213.90
Total PnL
$-18.5K
Realised
$-5.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
5860 shares @ 8.4¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$213.90
$-278.25
- YES
Will Lee Jun-seok win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
266281 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-5.3K
- YES
Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?
252743 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-6.7K
- YES
Will Lee Jae-myung win 35-40% of the vote in the South Korea election?
71753 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-330.42
- YES
Will Lee Jun-seok win more than 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?
43336 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2025$0.00
$-4.7K
- YES
Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea election?
14014 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-69.26
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?
12237 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.24
- YES
Will no leader be out in 2025?
10836 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-260.00
- YES
Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
6596 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-335.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$51.35May 4, 01:22 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.41May 4, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$83.42May 3, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$15.40May 3, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$38.50May 3, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$25.80May 3, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$0.08May 3, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$1.09May 3, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$92.24May 3, 03:14 UTC
- SPLITWill Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$100.00May 3, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$227.50May 3, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$95.20May 2, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$36.00May 2, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$3.32May 1, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$95.59May 1, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$227.50May 1, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$490.00May 1, 10:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?$265.04Nov 1, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)$1.2KNov 1, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)$180.00Nov 1, 10:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $143.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 15:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 01:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".