Open-Hashtag
0xe55017e61cd13b6bf7e596bc0bba0fb3036def79
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$-497.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?
1200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2026$768.00
$168.00
- NO
Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2026$740.00
$240.00
- NO
Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?
1200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2026$432.00
$-168.00
- YES
Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2026$260.00
$-240.00
- NO
Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?
27 shares @ 87.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Sep 27, 2026$26.53
$2.61
- NO
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
962 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.21Jul 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?$23.92Jul 15, 21:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.02Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?$1.1KJul 14, 13:27 UTC
- SPLITWill the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?$1.2KJul 14, 12:06 UTC
- SPLITWill the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?$1.0KJul 14, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$379.90Jun 19, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$400.71Jun 19, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada win on 2026-06-18?$5.00Jun 19, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-18?$3.78Jun 18, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$100.00Jun 18, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$3.0KJun 18, 06:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$672.19Jun 18, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$129.87Jun 16, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$101.61Jun 16, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$507.20Jun 16, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$1000.00Jun 16, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$400.00Jun 16, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$5.3KJun 16, 13:46 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.15Jun 15, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $340.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 20:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.