Overdue-Rank-Input
0xe56573116d15b46d26a28116d0d3e01c6f686195
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$34.18
Total PnL
$-261.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
93 shares @ 16.1¢·now 19.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.40
$3.40
- YES
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14 shares @ 73.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$9.66
$-0.34
- NO
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$4.39
$-0.61
- NO
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$1.73
$-0.27
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
82 shares @ 30.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
52 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
52 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
51 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-24.99
- BRAZIL
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
47 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Wall Street" this week?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Germany (-2.5)$2.53Jun 20, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$2.05Jun 20, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$2.08Jun 20, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$2.01Jun 20, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$2.06Jun 20, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$3.88Jun 20, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$3.10Jun 20, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$2.07Jun 20, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMNetherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score$4.92Jun 20, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$1.04Jun 20, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.25Jun 20, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.01Jun 20, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$2.05Jun 20, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-2.5)$2.01Jun 20, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$2.70Jun 20, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$2.04Jun 20, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$20.28Jun 20, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$3.05Jun 20, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$1.48Jun 20, 13:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $3.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 18:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.