Optimistic-Influx
0xe5727d0a87334c3226b7ae7665f99c561322d797
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
83
Open notional
$8.94
Total PnL
$-833.49
Realised
$42.70
Win rate
77%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- YES
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
4 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$4.37
$0.83
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
3 shares @ 66.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.74
$-0.26
- NO
Jack Smith charged by March 31?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Natural Disaster in 2026?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.52
$-0.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
403 shares @ 61.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-246.86
- NO
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
227 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
206 shares @ 67.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-138.66
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
175 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-13.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
135 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-43.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "Marty Supreme" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?$1.64Mar 18, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$4.16Feb 15, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$5.00Feb 15, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$3.00Feb 15, 22:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$0.00Feb 15, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$12.16Feb 15, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$10.42Feb 15, 22:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$6.69Feb 15, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$2.00Feb 15, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$5.00Feb 15, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$10.72Feb 15, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$9.88Feb 15, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$8.79Feb 15, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$5.00Feb 15, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$6.08Feb 15, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$5.78Feb 15, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMCornell Big Red vs. Penn Quakers$1.14Feb 15, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$1.37Feb 15, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$1.00Feb 15, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 14, 7PM ET$1.00Feb 15, 00:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 21:31 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 16:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".