Quaint-Publication
0xe573383ae49c36760afa7c643c627257702b9d9a
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$55.91
Total PnL
$4.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.10
$1.10
- NO
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026?
10 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.78
$0.78
- NO
Maduro guilty of all counts?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.79
$0.79
- NO
Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
5 shares @ 94.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$5.28
$0.28
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.22
$0.22
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.82
$-0.18
- NO
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?
4 shares @ 94.4¢·now 93.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.94
$-0.06
- NO
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
4 shares @ 87.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.32
$-0.18
- NO
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.16
$0.16
- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.86
$0.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$1.00Apr 2, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?$1.00Apr 2, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO before 2027?$1.00Apr 2, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?$4.31Apr 2, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?$0.00Apr 2, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$0.00Apr 2, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI launch a token before 2027?$4.00Apr 2, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zootopia 2 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.09Mar 17, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.88Mar 17, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?$2.86Mar 10, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLDeepSeek V4 released by March 31?$1.61Mar 10, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMSomalians who defrauded government to fund terrorists deported?$10.99Mar 10, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00Feb 26, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by March 31?$0.92Feb 25, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?$16.32Feb 25, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$1.00Feb 2, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Mexico by January 31?$1.05Feb 2, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMUS strike on Colombia by January 31?$1.03Feb 1, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?$2.35Feb 1, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMGPT ads by January 31?$6.25Feb 1, 13:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $3.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 14:44 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 07:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.