Little-Derby
0xe57951985648973e453337a1dcf20bccd1a67849
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$31.42
Total PnL
$-5.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 9?
12 shares @ 71.2¢·now 83.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$10.01
$1.48
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 9?
6 shares @ 67.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$6.03
$1.97
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 9?
7 shares @ 77.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$5.22
$0.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 9?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$4.37
$-0.66
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 9?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$2.45
$1.45
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 8?
667 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 8, 2026$1.00
$-0.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 9?
95 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.90
$-0.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 9?
286 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.2¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.57
$-0.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 9?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.42
$-0.57
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on May 9?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.16
$-0.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 9?$0.972h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 9?$0.012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 9?$0.172h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 30°C on May 8?$1.212h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 8?$0.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 9?$0.0814h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 8?$0.4315h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 8?$0.0415h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 8?$0.0215h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on May 8?$0.0416h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on May 8?$0.0216h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on May 8?$0.0216h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on May 8?$0.2716h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on May 8?$0.0416h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on May 8?$0.1216h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 8?$0.0216h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on May 8?$1.0116h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 8?$0.0716h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 8?$0.0716h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 30°C on May 8?$0.0716h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 16h ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
