Single-Broom
0xe5935acc37ef0ed7c71f59c001e6a5b4a2552c59
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$834.42
Total PnL
$-78.25
Realised
$-3.13
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NO
Will Wes Streeting be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?
50 shares @ 94.9¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$47.65
$0.20
- NO
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?
50 shares @ 88.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.75
$2.75
- NO
Will Sepideh Moafi – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?
50 shares @ 91.9¢·now 91.1¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$45.57
$-0.38
- NO
ChatGPT outage on August 8, 2026?
50 shares @ 92.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$45.25
$-0.75
- NO
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.1% in July?
50 shares @ 89.5¢·now 90.4¢·exp Aug 26, 2026$45.20
$0.45
- NO
Jonathan Majors as Kang?
50 shares @ 92.7¢·now 90.1¢·exp Dec 18, 2026$45.07
$-1.28
- NO
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.75
$-0.25
- NO
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
50 shares @ 90.0¢·now 87.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$43.55
$-1.45
- NO
Will Jane Poole-Wilson be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?
50 shares @ 85.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2026$43.50
$1.00
- NO
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 87.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.50
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?$7.25Aug 7, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLTodd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?$12.56Aug 7, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bridget Phillipson be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?$0.96Aug 7, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?$4.00Aug 7, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AS come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?$5.11Aug 7, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AS come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?$5.10Aug 7, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on September 30, 2026?$10.50Aug 7, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?$3.63Aug 7, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTodd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31?$44.50Aug 7, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTodd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?$29.50Aug 7, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core PCE MoM be 0.1% in July?$44.75Aug 7, 09:57 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $300M one day after launch?$14.78Aug 7, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast say "Prize" during his next YouTube video?$0.87Aug 7, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Houthis successfully target shipping on August 21, 2026?$4.50Aug 7, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Prize" during his next YouTube video?$4.00Aug 7, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?$14.67Aug 7, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?$41.00Aug 7, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?$40.00Aug 7, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chicago Cubs win the 2026 NL Central title?$1.80Aug 7, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?$36.39Aug 7, 09:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
63% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $16.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 7, 05:45 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 11:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.