0xe59d80f2afb062ef8fc91720c2016a6bb33214d3
0xe59d80f2afb062ef8fc91720c2016a6bb33214d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$0.99
Total PnL
$-44.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Was JFK assassination an inside job?
67 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25-1.29ºC in January 2025?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
2025 January hottest on record?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy by May 31?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
28 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
24 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMLoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs$5.88May 19, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs$1.02May 19, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump praise Allah again by April 15?$7.69May 19, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$1.02May 19, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 7, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00Apr 7, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Allah again by April 15?$1.00Apr 7, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$2.56Apr 7, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$4.55Apr 7, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Prymorske by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 14, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$1.00Jan 14, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Jan 14, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Jan 14, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$1.00Jan 14, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.50Jan 14, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$5.88Jan 14, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$2.96Dec 11, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.00Nov 19, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 19, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Nov 19, 11:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 11:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 18:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".