Downright-Plumber
0xe5a1a765a927810bd9fc5a2960af54411a761b54
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.0K
Realised
$-488.73
Win rate
3%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1600 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-360.00
- MICHAEL ZHENG
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Michael Zheng
1485 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-205.00
- ANASTASIA GASANOVA
Wimbledon WTA: Anastasia Gasanova vs Naomi Osaka
1429 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- IGA SWIATEK
Wimbledon WTA: Alexandra Eala vs Iga Swiatek
1364 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
1228 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- SARA BEJLEK
National Bank Open: Sara Bejlek vs Iga Swiatek
688 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-85.00
- TERENCE ATMANE
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Terence Atmane
625 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- MIOMIR KECMANOVIC
Cincinnati Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Flavio Cobolli
596 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$0.00
$-280.00
- MARTIN DAMM
National Bank Open: Martin Damm vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
595 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-220.00
- ROMAN ANDRES BURRUCHAGA
Estoril Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Alexander Blockx
510 shares @ 46.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-235.11
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in August?$13.97Aug 19, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in August?$150.51Aug 19, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?$277.12Aug 19, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMCincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Ekaterina Alexandrova$163.27Aug 18, 23:34 UTC
- TRADESELLCincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev$513.24Aug 18, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev$82.20Aug 18, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Ekaterina Alexandrova$82.04Aug 18, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev$154.20Aug 18, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Alexandra Eala vs Amanda Anisimova$102.55Aug 18, 04:35 UTC
- TRADESELLSet Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)$328.53Aug 17, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)$356.66Aug 17, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Terence Atmane$104.20Aug 17, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$128.27Aug 16, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMCincinnati Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Sara Bejlek$875.00Aug 16, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Sara Bejlek$360.50Aug 16, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Flavio Cobolli$287.42Aug 15, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMCincinnati Open: Sebastian Baez vs Grigor Dimitrov$1.2KAug 14, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$155.47Aug 14, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in August?$51.68Aug 14, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in August?$50.92Aug 14, 09:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $161.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 10, 08:46 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 15:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.