Edible-Conspiracy
0xe5ac0cc34e555a0f7456163d5390ba6d291d560e
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$13.04
Total PnL
$-44.73
Realised
$-1.26
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?
172 shares @ 11.1¢·now 4.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.98
$-11.02
- YES
Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
4220 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.22
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Trump kiss by May 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times on Thursday?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
95 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
46 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.10
- YES
Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
41 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$2.05Jun 13, 00:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by June 30?$0.92Jun 12, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$1.26Jun 12, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burgas host Eurovision 2027?$5.23Jun 7, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?$5.16Jun 3, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?$8.49May 31, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?$5.18May 30, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by June 30?$5.12May 30, 12:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$8.07May 30, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$1.97May 30, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$5.33May 26, 23:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$0.13May 26, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$5.22May 26, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burgas host Eurovision 2027?$5.22May 26, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$17.82May 26, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$15.00May 24, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?$15.07May 24, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?$7.00May 24, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?$2.19May 23, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$2.19May 23, 00:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 14:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.