0xe5b3622e916b7594c7934e6c21a6f2ee9cfd18d8
0xe5b3622e916b7594c7934e6c21a6f2ee9cfd18d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$23.09
Total PnL
$-106.88
Realised
$-9.48
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
131 shares @ 16.8¢·now 17.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$23.09
$1.09
- YES
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
278 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
247 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 22?
130 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
109 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
96 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 22?
95 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- CABO VERDE
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance
93 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-8.93
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.41Jul 12, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.45Jul 12, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.43Jul 12, 21:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$7.24Jul 11, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.04Jul 11, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.11Jul 11, 20:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$5.10Jul 9, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France vs. Morocco end in a draw?$0.84Jul 9, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Morocco end in a draw?$10.22Jul 9, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06Jul 9, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.24Jul 9, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.78Jul 9, 20:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $4.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 20:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.