Unnatural-Foodstuffs
0xe5c2c7a709dd9ab1a43c8b6852a4e9eaa8d4cfb5
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$254.64
Total PnL
$-6.2K
Realised
$6.4K
Win rate
79%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
10000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$95.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
10000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$35.00
$-4.55
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$32.50
$2.50
- YES
Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
6800 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 30, 2027$30.60
$-3.40
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
1172 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$16.99
$-5.01
- YES
Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
939 shares @ 0.6¢·now 1.4¢·exp Oct 24, 2027$13.14
$7.69
- YES
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
2353 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$10.59
$1.07
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
606 shares @ 2.5¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.78
$-6.22
- YES
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
1450 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$5.08
$0.72
- YES
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
822 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.11
$-20.39
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$3.06Jul 27, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesco Totti be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$0.90Jul 27, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$9.85Jul 27, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$5.30Jul 27, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$5.33Jul 27, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$5.33Jul 27, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$8.95Jul 27, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$26.60Jul 27, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$4.57Jul 27, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$33.17Jul 27, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?$7.69Jul 27, 04:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$3.12Jul 24, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$8.48Jul 24, 07:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
79% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $20.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 08:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.