Wide-Eyed-Nougat-Blocker
0xe5d357b65c8cca9c12a581a744fd9d827bd58380
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-112.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
10000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$950.00
$-50.00
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?
2611 shares @ 19.1¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$456.93
$-43.07
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
313 shares @ 31.9¢·now 58.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$181.97
$81.98
- NO
Will Trump accuse Venezuela of election interference by July 16?
115 shares @ 87.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$101.72
$1.72
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?
2330 shares @ 4.3¢·now 4.2¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$97.88
$-2.12
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
122 shares @ 82.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.29
$-6.71
- NO
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.09
$9.09
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?
528 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$6.60
$-3.40
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
439 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.11Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$48.45Jul 15, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump accuse Venezuela of election interference by July 16?$100.52Jul 15, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$100.00Jul 15, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$103.86Jul 15, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?$10.31Jul 15, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$330.58Jul 15, 06:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$102.70Jul 14, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$103.40Jul 14, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$103.49Jul 14, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?$500.00Jul 14, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$1.0KJul 14, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?$100.00Jul 14, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?$10.00Jul 14, 17:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $190.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 17:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.