Squiggly-Uniformity
0xe5d62650ac127ac533f755b61b2573d56bb94d05
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$91.28
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-225.62
Win rate
0%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Discord IPO before 2027?
57 shares @ 3.5¢·now 70.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.14
$38.14
- OPENAI
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
476 shares @ 21.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$35.71
$-64.29
- YES
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
162 shares @ 24.6¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.42
$-24.58
- YES
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
483 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 9AM ET
333 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?
303 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?
276 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Marty Supreme win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?
201 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
135 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
119 shares @ 42.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$35.71Jun 30, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$36.09Jun 16, 23:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$9.10Jun 14, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$2.08Jun 14, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$21.27Jun 14, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$2.08Jun 14, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$10.40Jun 14, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$5.23Jun 14, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$25.75Jun 9, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$5.32Jun 9, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$0.00Jun 9, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$52.08Jun 9, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$25.91Jun 9, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$21.31Jun 9, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$10.29Jun 7, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$4.92Jun 7, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?$6.91Jun 7, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$102.92Jun 7, 23:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$1.16May 28, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$5.34May 28, 19:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $25.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 00:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 19:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.